The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasted that the southwest monsoon over the country would be typical in July, with quantitative values ranging from 94% to 106% of the Long Period Average (LPA).
While rainfall is not predicted to be abundant in the first week, it is expected to recover considerably in the second part of the week, according to IMD director Mrutyunjay Mohapatra. However, a vast geographical area, including the northwest, southern peninsula, and parts of central and eastern India, may get less rainfall than usual.
The Met department will issue the following forecast for rains during the second half of the season towards July or August.
The monsoon started quite strong, with average rainfall above 40% of normal until June 19. However, it eventually began to decline. It is now stalled and has not reached much of the country’s northwest. The planting of the Kharif crop in northwest India may be hampered as a result of this pause. The monsoon season’s rainiest months are July and August. July rainfall accounts for around 35% of the season’s total and is consequently critical for agricultural and reservoir replenishment.
According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the monsoon would not return considerably until the second week of July. Despite a strong start in June, it is currently stopped and has not moved into most of northwest India. This pause might influence sowing in northwest India.
In a regular report issued on Thursday, the IMD predicted that rainfall for July in the country as a whole would be “most likely normal” (defined as being 96 to 104 percent of the historical average). July and August are the most humid monsoon months, considering more than two-thirds of total rainfall and hence crucial to Kharif agricultural planting in much of the nation.